Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 1.213591 1.477143 1.811850 2.279755 2.937149 3.862059 5.331587
2025-02-16 0.829619 1.103601 1.502262 2.161884 3.314403 5.467926 10.585834
2025-02-23 0.666282 0.941257 1.381568 2.210100 3.951603 8.250019 25.109178
2025-03-02 0.573396 0.848203 1.322773 2.317732 4.797232 13.035711 80.520893
2025-03-09 0.497349 0.759972 1.238902 2.328858 5.453067 19.236351 366.044224
2025-03-16 0.430964 0.672970 1.130956 2.235349 5.751807 25.548843 3775.884482
2025-03-23 0.396588 0.635773 1.109516 2.339270 6.855025 44.341513 NaN
2025-03-30 0.362335 0.592274 1.063572 2.359194 7.716296 73.680312 NaN
2025-04-06 0.328866 0.544894 0.998483 2.298161 8.180707 112.388384 NaN
2025-04-13 0.301884 0.506441 0.945637 2.254348 8.732733 186.789440 NaN
2025-04-20 0.291478 0.499648 0.964469 2.451194 11.202094 861.107799 NaN
2025-04-27 0.277968 0.484405 0.959567 2.568037 13.574494 12792.422071 NaN
2025-05-04 0.259690 0.457288 0.920994 2.549953 14.931869 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 0.240361 0.425897 0.866407 2.449393 15.318612 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 0.229172 0.411071 0.853023 2.515375 18.102500 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 0.221074 0.402108 0.853777 2.646700 22.830520 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.210244 0.385742 0.830955 2.660546 26.050221 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.197085 0.362799 0.785881 2.548051 26.269309 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 0.191237 0.356232 0.787280 2.673219 33.723361 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 0.183406 0.344230 0.770620 2.697268 39.318495 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 0.174099 0.327933 0.738667 2.623666 41.174133 NaN NaN
2025-07-06 0.166000 0.313921 0.711970 2.570922 43.979616 NaN NaN
2025-07-13 0.164184 0.314904 0.732010 2.808499 68.270150 NaN NaN